Inside the Economy with SH&J: Election Edition

Today we bring you a special edition of Inside the Economy with SH&J, at a time when our country is divided and there is a great deal of uncertainty surrounding the potential impacts of the outcome of this election. The media has anticipated turbulent stock markets, but this hasn’t been the case thus far. Listen in to learn why and hear more about our unbiased view of the state of the current economy.

Cost of Living in the United States 1975 vs. 2015

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It is often easy to figuratively compare today’s costs with how much things “used” to cost. However, we don’t always have the numbers to use in the comparison, which is why we are sharing this table today.

If it seems like housing, auto, and education costs are a bigger portion of your paycheck today, then you are right. On average, this is true. It’s easy to see why the amount of college loan debt and car loan debt are steadily increasing. It’s also easy to observe why it is increasingly difficult to achieve the “American dream”. Continue reading

Inside the Economy with SH&J: October 10, 2016

As we enter the 4th quarter of 2016, here in the U.S., there is less stress in the financial system than when we started the year and the S&P 500 is at the top end of its forward price-to-earnings ratio. However, overseas, Deutsche Bank is fighting a $14 billion penalty from the U.S. Department of Justice for “mis-selling” mortgage securities before the 2008 recession. Listen in to hear more on the German bank as well as why Japan has such low interest rates despite the amount of sovereign debt outstanding.

Inside the Economy with SH&J: September 26, 2016

It is no surprise that the Fed elected not to raise interest rates this month, although the Consumer Price Index is creeping back to the level the Feds are seeking. In addition, funds from Japan and the Eurozone continue to flood into U.S. based investments and will likely remain here for the foreseeable future. Why is this important? Listen in to hear this week’s economic update.

If you have any questions or topics you would like addressed, please let us know in the comments section below and we will cover them during our next recording on October 10th.

How the Election May Affect the Stock Market

shj092016_2016_election_effect_on_markets_blog_imageOne of the most popular questions during client reviews this year is “How will the election affect the market?” One way to answer this question is with a crystal ball, or possibly a dartboard. Although there is plenty of available data about market returns during previous election seasons, there is simply no guarantee that this year will follow the same patterns. The only guarantee is that you will be tired of hearing about this election by the time November 8th rolls around (if you aren’t already).

Here are 3 ways an election impacts the market: Continue reading

Inside the Economy with SH&J: September 12, 2016

Despite a decline in both the manufacturing and non-manufacturing ISM (Institute for Supply Management) survey indices, 10 year Treasury yields increased to 1.67%. For the first time in a while, we are also starting to see German and Japanese 10 year bonds in positive rate territory. Here in the U.S., household debt remained low and a survey released by BLS (Bureau of Labor Statistics) indicates that 2015 spending increased, mainly due to increased personal insurance and retirement contributions. Listen in to hear more on these issues as well as how total household debt as a percentage of GDP in the U.S. compares to Canada.

Inside the Economy with SH&J: August 29, 2016

This week’s Inside the Economy with SH&J brings a focus on inflation, both in the U.S. and globally, with insight on what needs to happen and why it’s important to have an economy with inflation. Will it be entrepreneurs or the government that steps up to the plate? Here in the United States, although existing home and new auto sales have slowed, overall wealth is growing. Listen in to hear about these issues and more, including international equities and employment in Italy.

Inside the Economy with SH&J: August 15, 2016

The combination of improved earnings, strong U.S. economic data, and the prospects for continued low interest rates are likely indicators that propelled the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq indices into all-time highs this month. Listen in to hear more on this and about U.S. consumer spending, debt levels and savings.

Inside the Economy with SH&J: August 1, 2016

July wrapped up with a nice rally in the U.S. markets, proving that summer can be a productive season in your investment portfolio. Today’s discussion brings our attention to U.S. GDP, the bond markets, and the emerging markets. Listen in to find out which two emerging market countries are projected to be the fastest growing in 2016!

Inside the Economy with SH&J: July 18, 2016

As the frenzy surrounding the Brexit vote calms down, we shift our focus to the U.S. economy where we are rapidly approaching full employment and continue to be perceived as an attractive investment. While a third of the world has negative sovereign debt rates, the U.S. offers better yields, a sense of security and liquidity to domestic and foreign investors. Inflation remains low and we are starting to see real estate slow down to historical trends in many regions. This week, we also touch on the progress of Abenomics along with a possible constitutional change in Japan – listen in to hear what that change may be!